Logistic regression analysis of risk factors for portal vein thrombosis in liver cirrhosis
SHU Dan, HUANG Xiang-rong, JIANG Yu-jin, HUANG Ting, LIU Ying-xia, XU Cheng.
2019, 24(7):
740-743.
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Objective To investigate the risk factors for portal vein thrombosis (PVT) in patients with liver cirrhosis.Methods From January 2016 to December 2017, the data of 314 hospitalized patients with liver cirrhosis were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into PVT and control groups according to the occurrence of PVT. Data including age, gender, etiology of cirrhosis, Child-Pugh score, blood cell count, serum biochemical index, blood coagulation function, D-dimer, main portal vein internal diameter and portal vein velocity (PVV) were recorded and analyzed. Non-conditional logistic regression model was used to screen for risk factors. Area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the predictive value of each index. Results The incidence of PVT was 10.51% (33/314) in patients with liver cirrhosis. Univariate analysis showed that platelet count (70.42±28.96 ×109/L vs 85.61±33.24 ×109/L, P=0.012), antithrombin Ⅲ (AT-Ⅲ) (49.39±17.33 % vs 57.31±18.27 %, P=0.009), PVV (12.67±1.19 cm/s vs 14.40±1.36 cm/s, P<0.001), D-dimer (2.09±1.98 mg/L vs 0.95±0.52 mg/L, P=0.003) and Child-Pugh score (9.67±1.11 vs 8.77±1.03, P<0.001) were correlated with the development of PVT. Non-conditional logistic regression analysis indicated that AT-Ⅲ (OR=0.956, P=0.009), D-dimer (OR=6.351, P<0.001), PVV (OR=0.301, P<0.001), and Child-Pugh score (OR=2.486, P<0.001) were independent risk factors for PVT in patients with liver cirrhosis. The AUC of the 4 factors was 0.629, 0.786, 0.842 and 0.722, respectively. Conclusion Low PVV, high Child-Pugh score, high D-dimmer level, and low AT-Ⅲ are independent risk factors for PVT in patients with liver cirrhosis.